CALIFORNIA FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, MAY 3, 2019 OR THEREAFTER
FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, MAY 3, 2019 OR THEREAFTER
BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
“LINK HOUSING TO HSR, SOLVE A LOT OF PROBLEMS”
Gov. Gavin Newsom has long
prided himself on taking a holistic approach to government, realizing the
connection between key issues like transportation and climate change, fire
management and the makeup of corporate boards of directors.
He also likes bold approaches,
like his sudden decision in March to issue reprieves for all 700-plus
murderers, rapists and arsonists on California’s Death Row.
So it’s
rather odd that Newsom has not followed up since assuming office on one of the
more interesting statements he made while a candidate last year.
Asked
during an interview about the state’s hyper-controversial high speed rail
project, Newsom made a strong link between California’s huge housing deficit
and the potential of bullet trains to help solve or at least mitigate it.
His
remark of about one year ago was very different from the plan he espoused
during his winter state-of-the-state speech, where Newsom proposed limiting the
bullet train to a relatively short run between Bakersfield and Merced.
In real
life, that might be a decent starter route, but as a stand-alone project, it
does little or nothing for the vast bulk of taxpayers footing the bills. Nor
would it help an iota in solving the housing shortage.
But
Newsom, who called during the campaign for building 3.5 million more homes in
the state within the next seven years, had a different vision before he took
office.
“I
think the high speed rail project has become far too expensive,” he said back then. “But it could be very
useful in helping with housing.”
Newsom
suggested then that running bullet trains to the Central Valley from the Los
Angeles area, the East Bay and the Silicon Valley could make both home
ownership and long-distance commutes viable for people living in places like Modesto,
Merced, Madera, Tracy and Bakersfield. He did not imply this could solve the
very different problem of homelessness.
Newsom
noted that land is exponentially cheaper in the Central Valley than in coastal
counties, making homes far less expensive. Some workers already commute between
two and four hours daily from there to jobs near the coast. High-speed trains
could cut those commutes by half or more, he said, thus making the more
affordable inland locations newly viable for many thousands.
Estimates
of the cost of building “affordable” housing run between $330,000 and $450,000
per unit today in projects of more than 100 apartments or condominiums in
coastal counties. That expense could plummet in the lower-cost Central Valley.
Newsom’s
proposed budget includes about $1.3 billion as a state contribution to getting
started toward his massive housing goal, almost half in the form of tax credits
for developers. That’s just a start-up estimate for the massive build-up
envisioned. But the eventual tab could likely be cut by tens of billions of
dollars if most building occurred in rural areas, where resistance to new
construction might also be far less.
The
only way that can work is if there’s fast transportation to locales with masses
of jobs. Enter high speed rail.
Applying the savings in housing costs to
the bullet train could also solve many of its financial woes, and the project
might proceed at least close to its original concept of serving cities from San
Diego to San Francisco and Sacramento.
Looking
at this holistically, it would also cut greenhouse gases and climate change by
putting commuters in trains, not cars. The same commuters would then use public
transit within the big employment areas (read: cities) unless they kept an
extra car near bullet train stations. Cost and inconvenience ensure relatively
few would do that.
Which
means the link candidate Newsom saw between housing and the bullet train could
become very real if Gov. Newsom pushed it with anything near the zeal he’s
shown for getting rid of the seldom-used death penalty.
“I want
to be known for looking around the corner, seeing potential and not doing
politics as usual,” candidate Newsom also said.
It’s
time for the still-new governor to act on his words and make linkage between
bullet trains and new homes real, something that won’t happen unless he
supports it vocally.
-30-
Email Thomas Elias at tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough: The Most Promising Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch It," is now available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias columns, go to www.californiafocus.net
Email Thomas Elias at tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough: The Most Promising Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch It," is now available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias columns, go to www.californiafocus.net
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