Wednesday, October 29, 2014

ARNOLD’S AWFUL REAL ESTATE DEAL HAUNTS STATE

CALIFORNIA FOCUS
 FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 14, 2014, OR THEREAFTER


BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
      “ARNOLD’S AWFUL REAL ESTATE DEAL HAUNTS STATE”


    When producers named a post-apocalyptic television series “The Walking Dead,” they probably had no idea that title also would come to describe one of the worst moves Arnold Schwarzenegger made in his seven years as California’s most amateurish governor ever.

     
    That was his deal to sell 11 choice state office buildings to private investors for about $2.3 billion ($600 million in immediate cash), which he planned to use as a stopgap to throw into California’s then-chronic budget gap. Never mind that even his own pet economists predicted a net loss of $2.8 billion over 30 years from this deal.


    Jerry Brown thought he cancelled this big mistake almost immediately after taking over in 2011 for his third term as governor. But somehow the deal threatens to survive; at the very least, it still haunts the state.


    The sale of buildings in Sacramento, San Francisco, Los Angeles and San Diego is not exactly a ghost, largely because a San Francisco judge decided about a year ago that the potential buyers’ claim their deal was done before Brown could quash it deserves a full court trial. That trial will probably open within the next month.


    The essential claim of the buyers, a partnership called California First that’s headed by the Irvine-based ACRE LLC and Hines Inc. of Houston, Texas, is that a contract is a contract. California First won an auction staged under Schwarzenegger, but has yet to take possession of any building.


    The fact these companies are still pursuing the deal four years after Brown tried to end it is pretty good evidence they had figured to reap healthy profits from the steady stream of rents Schwarzenegger committed the state to pay for at least 30 years after the deal was done. They also planned to fire most union maintenance workers now employed in the buildings.


    Schwarzenegger tried hard to sign as many papers on the deal as possible before leaving office, since Brown had expressed great skepticism about the sale while campaigning in 2010.


    Brown knew the deal stunk, and tried to exploit a contractual loophole to keep the buildings in state hands. His claim then remains the contention of the state Department of General Services today: Because a ruling in a lawsuit that aimed to stop the sale forced the buyers to miss a deadline, the deal was never really done.


    A department spokesman told a reporter this fall that “The lawsuit is a misguided attempt to resurrect a long-defunct contract.” But California First maintains it had at least an implied contract that still should apply. And it’s for sure that Schwarzenegger wanted to sell.


    This deal, of course, was as short-sighted as the $15 billion in budget-balancing bonds Schwarzenegger pushed through 10 years ago, bonds which the state may pay off next year with a final $1.6 billion installment.


    So no one now can be sure who will ultimately own the red granite Ronald Reagan State Building in Los Angeles, the Public Utilities Commission and state Supreme Court buildings in San Francisco and the Department of Justice building in Sacramento, to name a few landmarks involved.


    Rooting hard for the deal to be consummated is the firm of Coldwell Banker Richard Ellis, whose executives contributed more than $79,000 over the years to various Schwarzenegger campaign committees. CBRE stands to get $16 million in commissions if this happens, a pretty nice return on its political investment.


    The sale drew little attention until this column in February 2010 exposed its short-sighted nature. Protests built after that.


    But California First never gave up even after Brown acted. One partnership lawyer called Brown’s cancellation “a politically motivated decision that left our client with a broken contract.”


    Brown explained his move differently, saying he sought long-term budget solutions and not short-term Band-Aids that merely “kick problems down the road.”


    The bottom line is that this was one of the worst real estate deals ever negotiated by California officials. But it may yet be revived.


    Which means that almost four years after the consistently inept Schwarzenegger left office, one of his mistakes threatens to burden the state he still professes to love for many decades into the future.


    -30-

    Email Thomas Elias at tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough, The Most Promising Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch It," is now available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias columns, visit www.californiafocus.net

LAME DUCK BROWN: MORE THAN A CARETAKER?

CALIFORNIA FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 11, 2014, OR THEREAFTER


BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
    “LAME DUCK BROWN: MORE THAN A CARETAKER?”


          During his first eight years as governor, Jerry Brown was so imaginative about what state government could do that he won the nickname “Gov. Moonbeam.” It took Brown, then in his 30s, to theorize that a state could launch its own communication satellite. And that a governor should deal person to person with presidents and prime ministers of foreign countries. Common sense ideas today, but visionary in the 1970s.


          Now, as Brown prepares for a likely record fourth term as California governor – having gone from the state’s youngest chief to its oldest – the question is whether he will return to the innovative mentality of his youth or stay with the steady, gradualist approach that’s served him well during his almost-expired third term.


          All signs point to his continuing that more recent approach as he becomes a lame duck without an obvious successor in the wings.


          Brown, of course, would say he accomplished a lot during his return to the governor’s office after a 28-year hiatus. His biggest achievement was bringing the yearly state budget into balance, even though he couldn’t do much about California’s outstanding debts of well over $100 billion.


          That’s hardly Moonbeam material. He kept the wheels turning on the bullet train project pushed by predecessor Arnold Schwarzenegger and backed by the state’s voters six years ago. Critics say the plan is impractical, and Brown has made it his baby, but it was never his own idea.


          Brown has also been very gradualist in dealing with the ongoing drought. Potential ground water regulations he signed into law won’t do much until decades from now, and the ranch-owning Brown has made no major moves to shift water away from farms.


          Even his prison realignment plan was forced on him by federal judges at three different levels insisting he had to clear tens of thousands of inmates out of state penitentiaries.


          So there have been no brilliantly innovative ideas from the recent Brown, no new state agencies created as his younger version did with the Fair Political Practices Commission and others. No radical moves in education, either.


          All this led his most recent Republican challenger, Neel Kashkari, to call him “lazy and status-quo oriented.” A far cry from the old Moonbeam.


          But now Brown will be essentially free. At 76, he can’t seek a fifth term and it’s likely he will never run for office again anywhere, whether for another go-‘round as mayor of his adopted city of Oakland or nationally, as the youthful Brown did while running twice for president and once for the U.S. Senate.


          So far, he’s offered no clue about what he might do with this freedom. Will he try some daring environmental moves, as he did many years ago while fighting to reduce pesticide use in agriculture and strictly enforcing the then-new California Environmental Quality Act? Might he try for even more radical changes in school finance than his Local Control Funding Formula, which has just begun sending more state money to schools with the neediest students than to other schools?


          Radical new actions seem unlikely. His Proposition 1 water bond embraces traditional priorities like more storage and cleanup of existing water sources. His Proposition 2 rainy day fund for state budget protection is scarcely an original idea.


          The most innovative thing he proposed during his latest term might have been the notion for building giant “twin tunnels” to bring fresh water from the Sacramento River system under and into the Delta area southwest of Sacramento. As envisioned, the tunnels would help keep that area free of salt water intrusion while assuring steady supplies for the state Water Project and the federal Central Valley Project. This puts him at odds with some environmentalists who once were his leading supporters and now have nowhere else to go.


          Brown gave few hints during the fall campaign, where he’s been essentially unchallenged by the poorly-funded Kashkari and did very few interviews, none of them hard-hitting.

          Which leaves open the question of where an unfettered Jerry Brown might try to take his beloved state, which has given him more time in its top job than anyone else has ever had.

         
-30-

    Email Thomas Elias at tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough, The Most Promising Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch It," is now available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias columns, visit www.californiafocus.net

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

PEEVEY DEPARTURE NOT ENOUGH: CLEAN OUT ENTIRE PUC

CALIFORNIA FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 7, 2014, OR THEREAFTER


BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
    “PEEVEY DEPARTURE NOT ENOUGH: CLEAN OUT ENTIRE PUC”


          Sighs of relief were audible all around California the other day, when the embattled, disgraced Michael Peevey announced he would not seek reappointment to a third six-year term as president of the powerful California Public Utilities Commission.


          But the relief was premature. And Peevey’s announcement is not nearly enough to restore credibility to this tainted agency. Only a real house-cleaning can do that.


    The announcement from Peevey, ever the crafty fox guarding the unsuspecting henhouse, as this column first labeled him as early as 2005 for his obvious conflicts of interest, means he will stick around long enough to orchestrate the two most important votes of the last 15 years by his five-member commission, which sets rates for privately-owned gas and electric companies.


          Peevey’s staff emails and documented conversations with officials of Pacific Gas & Electric Co. about its cases are now notorious. But he’s still due to preside over the vote on how to penalize PG&E for the 2010 San Bruno gas pipeline explosion that killed eight people and destroyed dozens of homes. This decision will also determine how much PG&E customers, who have paid monthly for gas pipeline maintenance over more than 50 years, will be dunned for new pipeline repairs. No one has accounted for the billions of dollars PG&E took in via those payments.


          Peevey, a former president of Southern California Edison Co., will also preside over the commission’s vote on how much consumers must pay for the knowingly defective, documented Edison decisions that led to the closure of the San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station, of which the San Diego Gas & Electric Co. is a part owner.


          A preliminary settlement not yet finalized calls for consumers to pay more than $3 billion over the next 10 years for safely mothballing that plant. But customers have already paid monthly for its retirement since the day it opened in the 1970s. No one has explained why consumers should pay anything more.


          Neither of these decisions will be made by Peevey alone. The other four commissioners will cast most of the votes, but if they go the way things have since ex-Gov. Gray Davis appointed him in 2002 (with ex-Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger reappointing him six years later), the often bullying Peevey will get his way. Both decisions will likely stand unchanged after those votes. Appeals from PUC decisions can only be made directly to the state Supreme Court, which has almost never reversed any.


          The other four commission members have never crossed Peevey on an important vote involving prices charged by California’s largest utilities. They have been meek enablers of Peevey’s corruption. They’ve gone along with him on rate increase after rate increase. They’ve acquiesced in keeping secret the prices of giant solar thermal electricity plants whose output will be far more costly than power from conventional oil- or natural gas-fired generating plants. Other commissioners also joined Peevey in trying to bring hyper-expensive, unneeded liquefied natural gas from foreign countries into California. And on and on.


          So they’ve been classic enablers. At least one of them, Mike Florio, formerly a longtime consumer attorney who was appointed to the commission in 2011 by Gov. Jerry Brown, has voiced regrets over helping PG&E with “judge-shopping” in the San Bruno case and recused himself from coming votes involving that company.


          All of which suggests it’s high time to clean house at the PUC. The only way to restore this powerful agency’s credibility is to dump all the commissioners now, hopefully delaying the two key big-dollar decisions until a new panel can be seated.


          For people who knowingly enable corruption are legally and morally just as responsible for it as the actual perpetuator. And that describes the other meek members of this commission.


          Even if he wanted to (and he’s shown no sign he does), Brown could not simply fire them like other appointees; like most judges, they serve fixed six-year terms and Peevey’s is the only one about to end. Brown would have to pressure their resignations by doing things like cutting the PUC budget and asking state legislators to suspend their pay.


          That's not likely. Which means that even though a clean sweep is called for, the PUC will most likely continue on its biased path of favoring big utilities over their customers long after the discredited Peevey has left.


          -30-

     Email Thomas Elias at tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough, The Most Promising Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch It," is now available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias columns, visit www.californiafocus.net

A GOP STATEWIDE WIN PROBABLY WON’T HAPPEN

CALIFORNIA FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 4, 2014, OR THEREAFTER


BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
    “A GOP STATEWIDE WIN PROBABLY WON’T HAPPEN”


          These are days of optimism, maybe even delusion, for the California Republican Party, which hasn’t won a statewide race of any kind since 2006.


    Despite the fact that Democrats won majorities in the June primary for five out of the seven statewide constitutional offices, the GOP still thinks it can win at least one slot. But that’s not likely, no matter how healthy it might be to have folks from two parties in office..


          Republicans’ thinking may be epitomized by former state party chairman Ron Nehring, now running for lieutenant governor. Nehring took just 23.8 percent of the primary vote, while incumbent Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom won 49.9 percent – just a few votes short of a majority – but Nehring believes he achieved a lot in June.


          True, he did land a slot in the November runoff. But he won just 976,000 votes, compared with 2,082,000 for Newsom. Democrats together netted better than 55.5 percent of the total vote for that office.


          Add to this the fact that June saw a record-low turnout of all voters, with the Democratic vote depressed even further than the GOP’s. If the pattern of the last non-presidential statewide runoff election holds again, almost twice as many voters will fill out ballots this fall as last spring, the increase even greater among Democrats.


          And yet, Nehring says of his spring performance, “Our campaign finished strong.” He called Newsom “the weakest link” among Democrats, noting that of the five incumbent Democrats seeking reelection, Newsom was the only one not getting a clear majority in the June vote.


          As a side note, this goes to show the idiocy of one provision in the law that set up the top two primary election system. It forces primary candidates who win clear majorities to run again in November. Almost certainly, that will be a complete waste of everyone’s time, money and attention this fall, as Gov. Jerry Brown (54.3 percent) and the other majority-winning Democrats will likely roll up margins at least as large as their primary edges.


          But still, Republicans like Nehring believe they can pull off upsets. They are also looking closely at the campaigns for state controller and secretary of state.


          In the run for controller, the state’s check-writing officer, Republican Mayor Ashley Swearengin of Fresno topped all primary vote-getters with 24.8 percent, while the total GOP vote came to 44.8 percent. If every GOP vote cast in the primary wound up with Swearengin, she would still be about 5 percent behind the total Democratic vote. Another 6 percent of primary voters went for Green Party candidate Laura Wells, who didn't make the fall ballot. It’s a good bet most of her votes will go Democratic this time – not to mention the fact that Democratic turnout in general will be up more than the GOP’s.


          So no matter how attractive and solid a candidate Swearengin may be – and she is both – it’s pure delusion to think she’s the fall favorite, as some in the GOP now bill her.


          Over in the run for secretary of state, another solid and attractive Republican candidate was the leading vote-getter on primary election day, but not after all absentee and provisional ballots were counted. By then, Republican Pete Peterson, a Pepperdine University professor, trailed Democratic state Sen. Alex Padilla by more than 22,000 votes. Meanwhile, the total Democratic vote came to about 55 percent, so for Peterson to win in November, he’d need to get more than one-tenth of all voters who went Democratic in the spring, plus all those who voted Green and the 9 percent who went for Independent Dan Schnur, an academic who formerly was a GOP political operative. Plus a majority of the voters who didn’t turn out for the primary.


          The upshot is that it’s highly unlikely any Republican can win any statewide office this fall, no matter how wishful their thinking may be just ahead of Election Day.


         
     Which means Democratic consultant Garry South’s conclusion in summer a memo about the controller’s race also applies to the contests for secretary of state and lieutenant governor: “When you hear the spin from Republicans about how Swearengin is a truly viable candidate in the general election – she finished first in the primary, she’s an attractive and media-savvy candidate, blah, blah, blah – compare it to theactual metrics… and this ain’t happenin’ for Swearengin.” Nor for Peterson and Nehring.


          No matter how comforting Republican illusions may be today.

         

     -30-       
Elias is author of the current book “The Burzynski Breakthrough: The Most Promising Cancer Treatment and the Government's Campaign to Squelch It,” now available in an updated third edition. His email address is tdelias@aol.com

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

PROPS. 45, 48: TWO OBVIOUS ‘YES’ VOTES

CALIFORNIA FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, OCTOBER 31, 2014, OR THEREAFTER

BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
    “PROPS. 45, 48: TWO OBVIOUS ‘YES’ VOTES"

    It’s almost a foregone conclusion that the Proposition 1 water bond on next month’s ballot will pass easily: Every poll shows it with almost a 2-1 lead heading into the vote and the opposition has virtually no money for television commercials.


          But two other propositions are almost equally deserving of yes votes, Propositions 45 and 48.


          Proposition 45 is almost a no-brainer. It would place health insurance rates under the same kind of regulation that has made California the only state where automobile insurance prices have fallen over the last 25 years – since voters adopted the 1988 Proposition 103 and put car and property insurance rates under the authority of the state insurance commissioner.


          One look at the list of donors to the No on 45 campaign (available on the secretary of state’s website at http://cal-access.sos.ca.gov/Campaign/Committees/Detail.aspx?id=1343998&session=2013), reveals that through the end of September, all $34 million-plus spent to defeat 45 had come from the state’s largest health insurance companies: Blue Shield, Anthem Blue Cross and its parent company Wellpoint, Kaiser Foundation, United Healthcare and HealthNet.


          The single biggest check came last year from Wellpoint, which plunked down more than $12 million almost instantly when it became clear 45 would reach the ballot.


          Radio and television ads financed by those big bucks are misleading as can be, warning that 45 could somehow reduce the negotiating power of the commission that regulates Covered California’s rates under Obamacare. It won’t. But it will require insurers to justify rate increases for groups and individual policies before they can be bumped up.


          The bottom line: The officials who would regulate health insurance rates under 45 have already saved Californians more than $105 billion over the years via car insurance rate hikes that didn’t happen. This proposition is sponsored by Consumer Watchdog, the same populist outfit that wrote and sponsored Proposition 103 in 1988, getting it through despite being outspent 60-1 in that election by the big auto insurance companies.


          The need to approve Proposition 48 may not seem as obvious, because its passage would simply allow construction of a new Indian casino already approved by every state and federal authority with a voice in the matter, from the state Legislature and Gov. Jerry Brown to the federal Bureau of Indian Affairs.


          While it’s true this gaming compact would be the first allowing a Native American tribe to build a gambling hall off reservation land in California, approval in no way means other tribes would have an easy time gaining a similar nod.


          (Full disclosure: The writer is part-owner of the Madera Tribune, headquartered about one mile from the planned site of the putative new casino, to be owned by the North Fork Rancheria of Mono Indians.)


          In a state suffused with Native American casinos, this one is controversial only because it would adjoin State Highway 99 about 25 miles north of Fresno and presumably attract some gamblers who now take their money to other nearby casinos. In fact, almost all funding for the No on 48 campaign as of Sept. 30 came from existing Indian casinos which fear new competition.


          The two biggest contributors to the campaign against 48 are the existing Table Mountain and Chukchansi Gold casinos, also located near Fresno, and their financial backers. The second-leading contributor to the No campaign is Chukchansi’s leading lender, New York’s Brigade Capital Management.


          The No campaign calls on voters to “Keep Vegas-style casinos out of neighborhoods,” but it’s really about eliminating competition. There is in fact no neighborhood adjacent to the casino site, only a hotel, gas station and open land.


          Meanwhile, building the casino would produce about 4,000 permanent jobs in Madera County, where unemployment runs about 25 percent above the statewide average. It would also draw workers from nearby Fresno and Merced counties, whose unemployment is even higher.


          Only an accident of fate – and the fortunes of long-ago tribal warfare  – left the North Forkers so far from a major highway that they need to build off their reservation.


          The bottom line: Both these propositions and the water bond deserve yes votes both on their own merits and because of the disingenuous nature of the opposition.



     -30-
     Email Thomas Elias at tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough, The Most Promising Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch It," is now available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias columns, visit www.californiafocus.net

PROP. 46: VOTERS DECIDE WHO MIGHT GET RICH, STAY RICH

CALIFORNIA FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, OCTOBER 28, 2014, OR THEREAFTER


BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
    “PROP. 46: VOTERS DECIDE WHO MIGHT GET RICH, STAY RICH”


          Of all the issues in Proposition 46, an omnibus measure on next month’s ballot aiming to improve patients’ rights in several health care areas, money is the one that counts most.


          The central question boils down to this: Should victims of medical malpractice and their lawyers get rich, or should malpractice insurance companies stay rich?


          For one underlying reality caused by the state’s 38-year-old cap of $250,000 on the amount of pain and suffering damages any patient can collect when mistreated has been that insurance carriers like NorCal Mutual and The Doctors Co. got rich while patients often have no legal recourse no matter what’s happened to them.


          Even when juries come in with multi-million-dollar judgments in cases where patients have lost limbs or even their lives due to mistakes by their doctors, those amounts are routinely knocked back to $250,000 by judges in accord with the law. The only thing not limited is economic losses – lost wages and the like due to medical mishandling or negligence. Prop. 46 would raise the $250,000 limit to $1.1 million, indexing it to inflation afterward.


          So when a patient's history documents serious cardiac reactions to a particular drug in the past and a doctor still insists the patient take it, the penalty can’t go above $250,000 even if a drug reaction leaves the patient bedridden and disabled for years.


          The limit has had two meanings: Wronged patients usually can’t find lawyers to take their cases, since any substantial case will involve at least $100,000 in expert and witness fees, with attorney fees tacked on. Not much left of the $250,000 after that, so why bother?


          And insurance companies have profited greatly. One credible estimate puts their administrative expenses and pure profit at a total of about 70 cents from each dollar doctors pay for malpractice coverage. By contrast, 80 cents of every health insurance premium dollar in California, by law, must go toward paying claims. “That 70 cents leaves a lot of room for higher payments without rate increases,” says Jamie Court, president of the sponsoring Consumer Watchdog advocacy group.


          Sure, as the No-on-46 TV and radio commercials tell us, trial lawyers want to make more from malpractice cases. They’ve spent about $6 million promoting Proposition 46. But insurance companies have put up the bulk of the $58 million raised to fight the measure. The leading contributors? The Doctors Co. and NorCal Mutual, at $10 million each. Would these outfits ever spend so much if they didn’t feel their huge profit were threatened?


          So voters will decide if trial lawyers and a few malpractice victims get big chunks of cash, or whether the insurance companies keep on profiting.


          A peripheral Prop. 46 issue is drug-testing of doctors. Federal estimates are that 15 percent of practicing physicians have substance abuse problems, often controlled substances like Vicodin and Xanax, which they can easily access. With doctors numbering just above 30,000 in California at last report, this means about 4,500 are likely drug impaired at any given time. Yet, the state Medical Board disciplined only 326 over the last 10 years for drug abuse, an average of just 32 per year.


          So many surgeons now operate while on drugs, often narcotics. Thousands of other doctors make key decisions for their patients while drug impaired. Yet, the Medical Board can’t find them unless someone complains.


          Enter drug testing. All doctors would have to be tested randomly under Proposition 46, any with complaints getting tested right away. Those who test positive would see their licenses suspended until they at least begin rehab.


          This issue, says the ballot argument on the No side, is only included to distract voters from the main issue, money. Maybe so, but the state’s nonpartisan legislative analyst says random testing would lower costs related to drug abuse by many (unspecified) millions of dollars.


          Prop. 46 would also compel doctors to consult a statewide prescription database before writing new scrips. The aim is to keep drug abusers from “doctor shopping” for physicians willing to feed their drug habits. It also could stop doctors from running so-called “pill mills,” where they’re paid solely to write prescriptions for controlled substances.


          But money remains the central issue. The question of who gets rich or stays rich is now before the voters as baldly as it ever has been.



-30-       
    Email Thomas Elias at tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough: The Most Promising Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch It," is now available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias columns, visit www.californiafocus.net

Wednesday, October 8, 2014

DESULTORY BROWN EFFORT RAISES QUESTIONS

CALIFORNIA FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, OCTOBER 24, 2014, OR THEREAFTER


BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
          “DESULTORY BROWN EFFORT RAISES QUESTIONS”


          Just like this fall, there was a desultory quality – some called it murky – to the way Gov. Jerry Brown campaigned two years ago for his pet Proposition 30, which raised sales taxes a smidgen while considerably upping income tax levies on the wealthiest in order to bail out schools and a few other state services to the tune of $6.5 billion a year.


          Sure, Brown campaigned. But in the last weeks of his effort, there were no big labor rallies. No speeches to massive crowds in the main squares of the state’s biggest cities. There were few days when the governor made more than one appearance and plenty with none. Most of his appearances came on public college campuses, where his measure was already popular because of the likelihood that it would forestall more tuition increases.


          In short, Brown was no dynamo. He looked and in some ways acted like the 74-year-old he was.


          He’s been no more active this fall, at 76. If, as expected, he wins a fourth term next month, he’ll be the oldest person ever elected governor of California.


          There is little doubt Brown is in top physical shape. He hikes, he bikes, he runs, he lifts weights. When New Jersey’s Republican Gov. Chris Christie famously called him an “old retread” in a 2013 speech, Brown challenged him to a three-mile road race and nothing further was heard from the obviously overweight, out-of-shape easterner. Brown also has been fortunate, never having had a serious health crisis.


          And he’s hinted that he wants to accomplish a lot more in what figures to be his last term in any public office. “My goal over the next few years is to pull people together,” he said in one talk. “We have our antagonisms in California, but we can find a common path…California has a lot of dynamic future ahead.”


    In another, he said, “The key to administering this state is having a disciplinarian in the corner office.” He referred, of course, to himself.


    The implication was that he’s uniquely equipped to unify the state, even though he’s failed somewhat at that task in the first four years of his second go-‘round.


          Whatever the reason, he hasn’t campaigned much against Republican Neel Kashkari, the sacrificial lamb opposing his reelection. But he has relatively quietly overseen major changes in education financing and prison policy.


          Brown’s style when campaigning this year has been pretty similar to when he was attorney general, his most recent previous job. His speeches then were mostly low-key affairs, with no rousing emotional appeals and little apparent forethought.


          “I haven’t written a speech in awhile,” he said at one appearance. “They’re hard to write and even harder to read, so I just stick to my notes.”


    At times, he’s seemed nostaligic for a slower-paced past. “In the world I live in now, there isn’t much past, not much memory,” he said. “It’s all about the news. So we work on all the chaos, hope and fear that drive us all.”


          But no one can doubt Brown still has a passion for California. He sees that the state’s problems are mostly new versions of those that confronted his father, Pat Brown, governor from 1959-67: water, transportation, education and crime prevention. As then, he remarked, the question today is “how much (money) do we keep for ourselves and how much we contribute to the commonweal.”


          That’s mostly in the category of musing, though. If anything aroused passion in Brown in the last few years, it was the influx of money from unidentified donors to an Arizona committee that kicked more than $10 million into the campaign against Proposition 30. “Who are these guys?” he demanded. “Are they foreigners? That's illegal. Are they Californians using Arizona to hide from their own state's sunshine laws? Also illegal.”


          That’s about as fiery as Brown gets these days. Will he be even lower-key in his expected new term?


          The answers to that kind of question will determine whether Brown can govern effectively as a lame duck over the next four years. His future is entirely up to him.


         -30-       
    Email Thomas Elias at tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough: The Most Promising Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch It," is now available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias columns, visit www.californiafocus.net