CALIFORNIA FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 18, 2020, OR THEREAFTER
BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
“MOVED UP CENSUS: TIME FOR CALIFORNIANS TO ACT”
FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 18, 2020, OR THEREAFTER
BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
“MOVED UP CENSUS: TIME FOR CALIFORNIANS TO ACT”
California polls now show President Trump trails Democrat
Joseph Biden in the upcoming presidential election by almost 40 percent in this
state, a preposterous, totally unprecedented margin that spurs the incumbent to
retaliate against this state at every opportunity.
That was a major, unspoken motive when he issued an
obviously unconstitutional order telling the Census Bureau to leave
undocumented immigrants out of its supposedly complete count of every human
being residing in the nation, stipulated in America’s foundational document.
It was also one motive when the Trump-appointed Census
chief Steven Dillingham ordered the population count to stop on Sept. 30, a
month prior to what was planned earlier in the coronavirus pandemic, when it
became clear there would be no way to get a complete count by that date.
Never mind all that. When Dillingham issued his
stop-by-Sept. 30 order, Trump trailed in every major national presidential
poll, too, and in most surveys in swing states that flip back and forth between
the major parties. Trump knows he could be forced from office on Jan. 20, and wants
to harm his enemies (read: California and other states with large immigrant
populations) while he can.
The Sept. 30 closing date means the final Census results
should be reported by year’s end, fully three weeks before a defeated president
would leave office. It would then be impossible for the new chief executive to
extend the deadline for final results, as would be needed if the count continued
until Oct. 31. Biden, if elected, could not order an obvious Census undercount
to be fixed by using administrative records, as he could if the results were
finalized later.
This all could have enormous detrimental effects on
California – unless Californians get busy in the next few weeks and make sure
they and all their neighbors get counted.
As of late August, only about 65 percent of California
residents had been tallied, with newly-hired Census takers due to start
knocking on doors in droves this month. No one really knows how determined
these temporary on-the-ground counters are or whether their final count will be
anywhere near complete.
Yes, there figures to be room for some correction. As it
stands, former Census chiefs under Democratic Presidents Bill Clinton and
Barack Obama and Republican George H.W. Bush predict a count that’s 10 percent
to 12 percent low nationally. In California, with a hard to count and sometimes
hard to find – but unquestionably large – population of undocumented
immigrants, the undercount could be much higher.
If that’s how it turns out, one recourse allowed by federal
law might be a recount in 2025. That would be expensive and unprecedented.
Still, no president before Trump ever tried to interfere with an honest count.
His orders – like one for Census takers to ignore undocumented immigrants – are
contrary to what Dillingham pledged during his 2019 Senate confirmation
hearing: “independence from improper influence.” Uh-huh.
For California, a serious undercount could mean the loss of
two or three seats in Congress, which likely would translate into Republican
gains in the House, as the those seats would be redirected to smaller states
where complete counts are easier to do. Montana, Vermont and Nebraska might
each get one more House seat. Major undercounts in Texas, Illinois, New York
and Florida would also be likely under Trump’s orders, likely meaning other
House slots would shift to states like Alabama and Arkansas, where there are
fewer unauthorized immigrants accustomed to hiding from government workers like
the Census takers.
An undercount would also cause redirection of billions of
dollars in federal grant money for everything from highways and sewers to post
office buildings and other aid, much of which is divvied up on the basis of
state and local population.
But California is not helpless in all this. Unlike Texas,
Georgia and other states with significant unauthorized immigrant populations,
California early on earmarked almost $200 million for ethnic-based
organizations to hire extra personnel to convince those they serve to get
counted.
These efforts were delayed by the pandemic, but must now
ramp up seriously if California and the specific areas where the most
immigrants live are not to be shorted on representation, funding and government
services of all kinds.
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Email Thomas Elias at tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough, The Most Promising Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch It" is now available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias columns, visit www.californiafocus.net