CALIFORNIA FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, MAY 18, 2018 OR THEREAFTER
FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, MAY 18, 2018 OR THEREAFTER
BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
“’JANUS’ DECISION COULD CHANGE CALIFORNIA POLITICS”
Few
California primary elections in non-presidential election years have been so
anticipated as the one that starts soon, with millions of mail-in ballots
arriving in mailboxes long before the official June 5 Election Day.
This
vote will yield clues about who will replace Gov. Jerry Brown and begin a new
era in state politics. It could also give strong inklings about whether Dianne
Feinstein’s long tenure in the U.S. Senate will continue.
But
another June event may prove even more important to the future of California’s
public affairs. This will come about mid-month, when the U.S. Supreme Court is
due to deliver a decision in the landmark Illinois case of Janus vs. American
Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees. The case gets its name
from Mark Janus, a child-support specialist with his state’s child welfare
agency who is challenging the right of AFSCME, a huge public employee union, to
collect money from workers who don’t share its political views and are not
union members.
This
case echoes the 2016 California case of Friedrichs vs. California Teachers
Assn., where Anaheim elementary school teacher Rebecca Friedrichs challenged
the CTA’s right to collect money from her.
If
Janus wins, politics and civic life in California could change dramatically.
For decades, public employee unions have been a driving force in this state’s
politics, financially and in providing campaign manpower. They are one big
reason for the Democratic dominance in virtually all aspects of state
government.
Unions
also have driven very tough contract bargains, empowered in part by their huge
political influence, which sees officials from Brown down through legislative
leaders and key members of many county boards of supervisors back them
strongly.
Back
in early 2016, when the Friedrichs case was argued in Washington, D.C., it was
fairly obvious after oral arguments and public discussion by the U.S. Supreme
Court that unions would lose on a 5-4 court vote. But Justice Antonin Scalia
then died suddenly in a hunting lodge and the court deadlocked, letting unions
continue to collect “agency fees” from non-members who are nevertheless covered
by contracts they negotiate.
Like
Friedrichs, Janus argued this spring that this infringes on his First Amendment
rights. And it was again obvious after oral arguments and comments by court
members that unions would likely lose on a 5-4 vote, with new Justice Neil
Gorsuch replacing Scalia.
One
typical comment indicating how this will likely go came from the court’s
frequent swing vote, Justice Anthony Kennedy. He blasted unions for advocating
“massive government, increasing bonded indebtedness, increasing taxes.”
Recognizing
that a Janus/Friedrichs win is virtually certain, Brown and union-allied
legislators created a state law giving public employee unions the right to meet
and sign up new workers at least every 120 days. Union leaders said this is
crucial for them, as they expect soon to need to shore up worker solidarity.
But
things may not go quite as desired by the big business interests (including
major Republican donors like Charles and David Koch, owners of Koch Industries)
who have bankrolled both Janus and Friedrichs.
Forced
union dues from non-members may stop, but as they do whenever their backs are
to the wall, unions can be expected to become more militant. This could mean
many more public employee strikes, including bus and light rail drivers,
sanitation workers, Department of Motor Vehicles clerks, court workers,
Caltrans road repair workers and many more.
That
would be the end of a long era of labor peace essentially brought about by
unions’ political domination. For unions may believe they need to drive ever
tougher bargains in order to increase worker loyalty and drive membership up.
Plus,
the movement away from compelling payment from those who don’t like what’s
being done with their money could spread. There could be new objections to bar
association dues, student fees, continuing education for doctors and other
professionals and other currently required expenses that have essentially been
justified by the same arguments as agency fees.
There
could even be more tax resistance on free-speech grounds from persons opposed
to government policies.
So
Janus, like Friedrichs, is a potential can of worms, a Pandora’s Box whose
backers and the Supreme Court may come to regret having opened.
-30-
Email
Thomas Elias at tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough,
The Most Promising Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch
It," is now available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias
columns, visit www.californiafocus.net