CALIFORNIA FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 25, 2014 OR THEREAFTER
FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 25, 2014 OR THEREAFTER
BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
“WHO NEEDS A POLITICAL PARTY?”
Neither devoted Republicans nor
dedicated Democrats are happy about one obvious message of this month’s election:
At least in California, there’s no
need at all to choose or join a political party.
This message came across in several
ways. For one thing, the two Republican candidates for statewide office who
refused to endorse their party’s candidate for governor both did far better
than all other GOP candidates for major office. For another, the two-year-old
“top two” primary election system gave Republicans a decisive voice in the many
districts where Democrats so dominate that GOP voters previously didn’t have
influence. The same for Democrats in the few districts where the tables are
turned and Republicans dominate.
Party
stalwarts hate this, because it has already demonstrated a moderating influence
on legislators and members of Congress, and the leaders of both major parties
tend to be extremists of left and right. It is likely no coincidence that that
the two Republicans who ran strongest – Pepperdine University Prof. Pete
Peterson for secretary of state and Fresno Mayor Ashley Swearengin for
controller – were the most moderate statewide candidates their party offered
this year.
Small
party adherents also despise top two, because it has essentially taken their
candidates off the November ballot. Libertarians, Greens and others have the
same shot anyone else does in the primary, but if they’re not one of the top
two vote-getters then, they are forced to the sidelines for the rest of each
election year.
And
why not? If they demonstrate sufficient appeal to voters in the primary,
they’ll be fine in the fall. If they don’t, they won’t be elected later anyhow
and would merely clutter both the ballot and any debates that might be held
along the way.
Another central feature of top two is
that voters have no need to affiliate with either party at any time unless they
hope someday to win political office themselves. There is no longer any public
office or proposition on any ballot for which people declaring no party
preference cannot vote.
It’s plain from the latest voter
registration statistics that voters are increasingly aware of all this. Just
before Election Day, 517,000 more Californians were registered than four years
ago.
But while Democratic registration was
actually up slightly, by about 87,000, Republican rolls were down by almost
356,000. Where did the new voters and the former Republicans go? Most went to
the no party preference column, up almost 650,000 and to smaller parties like
the Greens, Libertarians, American Independents and Peace and Freedom, whose
membership rose a combined 115,000. Belonging to a fringe party also no longer
limits anyone’s ability to participate, as it previously did.
The numbers show a marked acceleration
of a trend toward voter independence that began in the late 1990s, but only
advanced slowly before top two. Now more than 23 percent of all California
voters decline to choose a party, double the 1998 figure and almost as many as
call themselves Republicans (28.1 percent).
All the parties hate this, and are
again contesting top two in court, this time challenging a similar Arizona
system. So far, the California plan has withstood court challenges, but no one
can be sure about Arizona.
Which means the just-concluded vote
could have been the last one under this system.
The major parties would love that, of
course, as they despised the way 24 legislative races and several Congressional
contests this fall pitted party mates against each other. The intra-party
competition made some districts that were previously among the most one-sided
into serious, unpredictable battlegrounds.
“You no longer have a choice between
hamburger and fish on the political menu,” griped one activist. “Now it’s just
between two types of hamburger. What kind of choice is that?”
It turns out to be a healthy one.
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Email Thomas Elias at tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough, The Most Promising Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch It," is now available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias columns, visit www.californiafocus.net
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