CALIFORNIA FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, MAY 7, 2021, OR THEREAFTER
BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
“FLORIDA OR CALIFORNIA: WHICH
HANDLES COVID BETTER?”
Where
would you rather be during the still-ongoing coronavirus pandemic, which
earlier saw Americans die by the thousands each day for many months? Florida or
California?
If they
could choose today, almost 4,000 now-deceased Floridians might pick California.
It’s true
those folks would have had to pay state income tax had they lived in
California, as opposed to Florida, which has no such levy.
But
they’re no longer among the living, thanks to the virus or its consequences.
A
comparison is very relevant today as Republican interests that funded and worked
to qualify a vote on recalling California Gov. Gavin Newsom continually insist
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis should be a prime candidate for president if Donald
Trump does not try for a second term in 2024.
They may
not have looked at the latest contrasts between wide-open Florida and still
somewhat closed California, set to reopen substantially more on June 15.
Numbers from the week between April 1 and April 8 can be instructive here.
Florida, with about half California’s population, had 37,293 new Covid cases
during that week to California’s 17,366. Its death rate also topped
California’s, at 157 per 100,000 persons to 148 per 100,000. On one day during
the following week, Florida recorded more than 6,400 new cases to California’s
1,200-plus. So who is managing the pandemic better, Newsom or DeSantis?
Meanwhile, if Newsom beats the recall and
then is reelected next year, he will surely be touted as a prime prospect for
the Democratic nomination the next time that slot opens up – perhaps in 2024 or
2028.
For both
men, handling of the pandemic’s onslaught has become a prime issue determining
their ultimate potential to lead the nation.
Newsom
was the first governor to shut down his state, ordering a lockdown in mid-March
2020 soon copied in myriad other places. DeSantis never issued a full stay-home
order. Similarly, while California has required masking to stem Covid almost
from the start, Florida requirements have been spotty, the only actual masking
orders issued by city and county officials in a few places.
To
understand any comparison, it’s important to note that California has almost
twice as many people as Florida, 39.985 million compared with 21.48 million
Floridians at last count.
California
stood at about 59,500 Covid deaths in mid-April, while Florida had just above
34,000.
California
has seen a somewhat lower percentage of its populace perish during the
pandemic, especially lately. In actual numbers, figuring for the states’
population differences, the figures amount to almost 4,000 more Florida deaths
than would have occurred if that state performed just like California.
This was
despite natural advantages Florida’s far more humid climate provides: Several
studies suggest that aerosol droplets emitted when humans breath, talk or sing
fall to the ground much faster in humid air than in a drier climate.
DeSantis
celebrates that he kept schools open through the pandemic, while most were
closed in California. But the 1.5 million more elderly persons here could have
fared far worse had California stayed as open as Florida.
The
question: Were the lives saved here by using Newsom’s tactics rather than those
of DeSantis worth extra sacrifices by other age groups?
That’s
essentially being debated right now in the recall drive, where Newsom is
roundly criticized for keeping businesses and schools shuttered longer than
many found comfortable, even though teachers and school districts often have
the last word on reopening.
The
bottom line on all this is that both governors operated from basic instincts
and principles: Newsom placed lives saved above all else while DeSantis wanted
to save lives, too, but not if his state’s economy suffered beyond his
supporters’ comfort level.
In both
cases, the governors accomplished their goals. Newsom kept California in 29th
position among the states when it came to death rates, even while its climate
and senior populace could have pushed fatalities much higher without the
strategies he employed. DeSantis kept his state at 25th, fatalities never
mounting to levels threatening to his political future.
Their
contrasts in philosophy and the results will be remembered, especially if these
two eventually oppose one another for the presidency.
-30-
Email Thomas Elias at
tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough, The Most Promising
Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch It" is now
available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias columns, visit www.californiafocus.net
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