CALIFORNIA FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 17, 2021, OR THEREAFTER
BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
“WHAT CALIFORNIA WOULD GET WITH LARRY
ELDER”
Election
results matter. This would become ever more clear if, despite some
constitutional objections to the recall rules, far-right talk show host Larry
Elder becomes governor of the nation’s largest state with 20 or 30 percent of
the vote, or even less. If this happens, California would surely see big
changes over the next year.
Whether
they’d last longer would depend on whether Elder could hang onto the office he
might soon win.
For sure,
if he wins, Elder, the current poll leader among replacement candidates, will
face a strong Democrat next fall – if he’s even one of the two top vote-getters
in a June primary election to be run on a completely different system than the
recall vote.
Elder
says he’ll be in the primary win or lose this month. He could face the
infuriated possible ex-Gov. Gavin Newsom in that primary. All polls and
analysts this summer provided the expectation that Newsom would win far more
“no” votes on the recall – essentially votes for him – than Elder or any other
hopeful on the replacement list could draw, so Elder would have plenty to
overcome next year.
Elder and
Newsom would also get opposition from within their parties. Democratic Party
leaders helped Newsom keep all their significant party mates out of the recall
race, but that prohibition would not carry into the primary.
If he
wins the recall, expect Elder to vie not just with Newsom again, but also at
least one or two other major Democrats. Leading replacement Democrat Kevin
Paffrath says he’ll run. Former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, overshadowed
in the recall by Elder’s following as a celebrity, is almost sure to run. San
Diego County businessman John Cox, who lost to Newsom by 24 percent in 2018,
could make a third run.
But even
if Elder didn’t make the primary’s top two, he would still have 14 months as
governor and could do a lot.
Foremost, Elder pledged to
cancel all state vaccination requirements, but said he would leave some local
masking mandates up to local authorities and school districts, unlike the
universal cancellations Republican Govs. Ron DeSantis of Florida and Greg
Abbott of Texas imposed on their Covid-plagued states.
Then, if anything happens to
88-year-old U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein in the next year, he would appoint a
Republican successor, costing Democrats control of the Senate.
Elder also could remove all
the members of every major state board except the Public Utilities Commission
and the boards that run the state’s colleges and universities. He might replace
the full membership of the Air Resources Board with folks wanting to let car
companies produce as much smog as they like.
He says
he does not deny climate change, but could appoint Energy Commission members
opposed to the current emphasis on renewable power. He figures to attempt
giving farmers a free hand dealing with migrant workers.
That
would be in the name of free enterprise and freedom from regulation, even if
Elder has spoken mostly in generalities while campaigning.
The state
would also learn about government by veto override. Elder promises to nix many
bills legislators routinely pass. Compromise is not often in his rhetoric,
But
Democrats hold majorities in both the state Assembly and Senate well above the
two-thirds needed to override vetoes – and they’d surely use that ability if
Elder tries to thwart them.
Then there
would be judges. Elder could not change much at California’s Supreme Court and
the various Courts of Appeal, as they won’t have many openings within the next
year.
But in
local Superior Courts, where many issues are first decided and where timely
decisions can decide matters before appeals run their course, Elder could place
scores of like-minded folks to exert a libertarian influence.
For sure,
women’s rights would not advance, since Elder has said that women would often
be wise not to object to sexual harassment.
It all
could produce an approach to governing California has not seen in the modern
era, with property rights taking precedence over human rights for the first
time in decades and any fight against racial bias at least on hiatus until 2023.
For sure, Californians would learn once more why elections matter.
-30-
Email Thomas Elias at
tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough, The Most Promising
Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch It" is now
available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias columns, visit www.californiafocus.net
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