CALIFORNIA FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, DECEMBER 30, 2022, OR THEREAFTER
BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
"A RADICAL HIGH COURT RULING ON
LEGISLATURES COULD BACKFIRE”
Ever since ex-President Donald Trump placed three
conservative justices there, the U.S. Supreme Court has seemed to many like an
extension of the extreme right wing of the national Republican Party.
Now, after an early December court hearing on a lawsuit
aiming to give state legislatures – and only the legislatures – power over
almost every aspect of how federal elections are conducted, there suddenly
arises the possibility of a major backfire from any such decision by America’s
highest court.
The reason for this potential backfire resides most
prominently here in California. This state is so large and leans so strongly
Democratic that if legislators here reverse some longstanding state election
policies, they could cause big changes nationally.
Especially if some potential California actions were imitated
in other large-population blue states like Illinois and New York and Oregon and
Washington.
Here’s are the stakes in the Supreme Court case brought by
North Carolina Republican legislators: State legislatures could be authorized
to draw future legislative and congressional district boundaries any way they
like, with no say for either governors or state courts. The North Carolina GOP
sued because that state’s Supreme Court wouldn’t let them get away with
patently partisan district maps guaranteed to perpetuate big Republican
majorities in its legislature and congressional delegation.
If the Supreme Court, as some justices have indicated it
might, awards such ultimately extreme powers to state legislatures, it could
also be permitting state lawmakers to substitute presidential Electoral College
members of their preference for those elected by voters. This would be a
prescription for election irrelevance, and would make voter suppression laws of
the recent past look like mild, amateur tactics.
Essentially, it would let state Legislatures and not the
voters of any or all states make the most important civic decisions virtually
unchecked.
Except…California legislators would have it in their power to
reverse much of what multiple other states might do. They could create a whole
new kind of check and balance for the court and those other legislatures to
consider.
In a way, California voters created today’s small Republican
majority in the House of Representatives when they used ballot propositions to
set up independent redistricting commissions for legislative and congressional
districts here.
The new GOP majority exists only because California elected
40 Democrats and 12 Republicans to the House in November, using district lines
drawn by the independent commission, which had equal numbers of Republicans and
Democrats.
But if the Supreme Court says legislatures – and not voters –
have ultimate power over redistricting, state lawmakers here could overturn the
independent commission’s district lines anytime they like. With Democrats
holding two-thirds-plus majorities in both houses of this state’s Legislature,
they could draw any lines they wished, should the Supreme Court find for the North Carolina Republicans.
Does anyone seriously think a Democratic-drawn plan here
would have enabled narrow victories for Republican representatives like John
Duarte, Michelle Steel, Mike Garcia, David Valadao, Kevin Kiley or Young Kim,
without whom there is no GOP majority? Does anyone seriously think a
Democratic-drawn plan would have set up Orange County Democrat Katie Porter for
several nail-biting post-election weeks?
There’s not a chance of that. Nor would there be any chance
for Republicans, as they just did, to take away a formerly Democratic seat in
Oregon and maintain all its seats in Washington state. The same in Illinois and
New York, scene of a major Republican upset.
So there is plenty of room for backfire if the Supreme Court
goes extreme in granting state legislators almost unchecked power.
And what if the high court gave Republican-led legislatures
in states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania authority to substitute presidential
electors different from those chosen by voters, and those legislatures then
actually did that and reversed a national election outcome?
Does the Supreme Court seriously believe only extremist
far-right activists are capable of reacting with an insurrection? If so,
they’ve forgotten the almost anonymous leftists of Antifa, who in 2020 and 2021
rioted and took over parts of cities like Portland and Seattle.
So here’s a cautionary word to the conservative Supreme Court
majority: If you open Pandora’s Box and sow the wind by changing America’s
traditional political and electoral checks and balances, you could live to reap
whatever whirlwind might follow.
-30-
Email
Thomas Elias at tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski
Breakthrough," is now available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more
Elias columns, visit www.californiafocus.net
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