CALIFORNIA FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, AUGUST 19, 2025, OR THEREAFTER
BY THOMAS D. ELIAS
“NEWSOM MUST ACT FAST ON
GERRYMANDERING”
No significant politician
in California likes gerrymandering, the process by which politicians determine
who gets to Congress and who does not, as managed by political operatives.
When Californians added
congressional districts to the nonpartisan state legislative district drawing
process adopted narrowly in 2008, the idea of taking control of congressional
seats away from political parties passed by a margin of more than 60-40 percent.
So there is natural
distaste when Californians consider this fall whether to permit Gov. Gavin
Newsom and the state’s dominant Democratic politicians to redo the
congressional districts last redrawn in a non-partisan manner in 2020.
But if the polls are
correct and President Trump remains abysmally unpopular in California, then
this measure just might pass, with new districts put in place by late fall or
early spring so that candidates will have plenty of time to file for the June primary
election.
If this does not happen,
it will probably mark the end of Newsom’s on-again, off-again 2028 campaign for
president.
For he needs to chalk up
some wins over the Republicans if he wants to assume the Democratic mantle. So
far, Newsom has been by far the most combative Democrat in the running, not
afraid to do Fox News interviews, debate major GOP figures and frequently act
defiant of Trump.
There is little Democrats
hate more than watching Republicans change districts seemingly willy-nilly in
states they control. It’s the prime method by which they’ve maintained their
razor-thin three-vote majority in Congress. They seem to engage in this exercise
about once in four years, rather than the conventional once in ten.
Just now Texas Gov. Greg
Abbott plans to “steal” five nominally Democrat-leaning congressional districts
in the Houston area to help his party maintain its thin House margin.
Houston, only slightly
smaller than Los Angeles, is normally a Democratic town, with Dems outnumbering
Republicans considerably in all of surrounding Harris County. Now, though,
Republican graphic artists have drawn five new districts covering most of that
county. They’re shaped a lot like concentric horseshoes, with Democrats pushed
into just one larger-looking district so more Republicans can be crammed into
the others.
Seeing this, Newsom was
inspired enough to notice that similar surgery could be performed on five
California House seats now held by Republicans. But unlike Texas Republicans,
Newsom cannot act without the voters’ consent.
He first needs the
Legislature to set a special election for no later than November, so that
voters get a chance to change the 2010 Prop. 20 and make an occasional
districting redo legal. No, a simple legislative vote for this would not be
enough. In this state, it takes one initiative to reverse another. And this
would be a major reverse.
For sure, the always vocal
Reform California movement headed by San Diego Republican Assemblyman Carl
DeMaio, has promised every sort of legal action it can dream up to stop this.
With a state court system
stacked high with Newsom appointees, it’s possible that kind of GOP opposition
would be kicked to the sideline quickly.
But no one can safely bet
on this. Be fairly sure, this will go to an autumn vote, no matter who likes it
or not.
Newsom needs this one.
Yes, he loves to get down into the trenches with Trump, but his challenge and
the money to be invested in it has never been so much.
Some call this a mere ploy
by Newsom to deter the Texas Republicans from their plan. Right now, it does
not look that way.
Newsom appears to mean
business, not something he will allow to cave in quickly.
But he must keep the drive
going, or he will look like a mere bluffer using one of his very last chances
at influencing legislators to help out his national party.
If he manages to pull it
off, despite charges from many sides that he’s attempting something very
anti-democratic, he will become a Democratic hero who has accomplished more
than any other party mate in keeping Trump from exercising the extreme power he
arrived with for his second White House term. If not, Democrats will likely
look elsewhere for their next standard bearer.
-30-
Email Thomas Elias at
tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough, The Most Promising
Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch It," is now
available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias columns, visit www.californiafocus.net
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