CALIFORNIA
FOCUS
FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY,
JANUARY 14, 2025, OR THEREAFTER
BY
THOMAS D. ELIAS
“WILL TRUMP DEPORTATIONS SEE TROOPS IN
CALIFORNIA STREETS?”
Later
this month, the man who promised to be “a dictator on Day 1” will take the
presidential oath of office for the second time.
He’s
likely spent much of his time during the two month-plus transition period since
the Nov. 5 election drafting executive orders and other measures to act
immediately on that promise.
About
the least surprising order will likely be one declaring a national state of
emergency on immigration. Trump has promised to deport millions of undocumented
immigrants, with about one-third of the nation’s 11 million now living in
California.
What
realities might this produce? For one thing, don’t expect open conflicts
between federal and local authorities, even though Los Angeles and other cities
here have declared themselves “sanctuaries” for immigrants lacking legal
status.
No,
most police won’t cooperate with the Border Patrol and whatever other federal
agents Trump may press into service to help enforce a wide-ranging deportation
order. He promised he would start by going after criminals who snuck into this
country, but that doesn’t mean he won’t target anyone else, including
hard-working field hands, restaurant dishwashers, roofers, car wash workers,
hotel cleaners and others in jobs most Americans don’t want.
Even
as he deploys thousands of federal agents, Trump divulged soon after his
election, he plans to use the military to roust many immigrants from their
quarters.
So,
yes, there’s a strong possibility of seeing troops and military hardware in
city streets or cruising along in freeway convoys.
This
would be unprecedented since the Civil War, when federal troops occupied almost
the entire Confederacy, whose states voted almost unanimously for Trump in 2024
(Virginia was a narrow exception).
Will
Americans be docile bystanders when individuals and families they have come to
know – without realizing some were here illegally – are taken away, many being
sent to countries they have never known as sentient adults? Or will they shelter people who have cleaned
their homes and mowed their lawns for decades?
These
are open questions. To preclude some conflicts, Trump adviser Stephen Miller (a
Santa Monica High School graduate) sent warning letters to hundreds of state
and local officials here warning them of possible prosecution if they don’t
keep hands off deportation efforts. These went both to political unknowns and
to prominent figures like Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass and state Attorney
General Rob Bonta, who pronounced the letters a mere “scare tactic.”
It's
unquestionable that mass deportations like Trump promises will cost many
American jobs. Thousands of businesses sell supplies from lumber to furniture
polish for use by businesses employing the undocumented. If those workers
disappear, so will the jobs of many who supply them.
This
happened in previous roundups during the 1920s, 1960s and the years between
2006 and 2009, when the George W. Bush administration conducted numerous raids.
Yes,
there will be lawsuits from outfits like the American Civil Liberties Union to
get Trump’s declaration of emergency cancelled. With the ultimate decision up
to the conservative majority on the U.S. Supreme Court, bet on such a Trump
order surviving.
Plus,
Congress has never so much as voted on cancelling a presidential emergency
declaration, not even Franklin Roosevelt’s order that started the roundup and
imprisonment of almost all Japanese-Americans just after Pearl Harbor.
Trump,
of course, has deported immigrants before – about 1.5 million during his first
four-year term. Right now, about that many immigrants await hearings on asylum
cases around the nation, and those persons are not supposed to be touched until
and unless their applications are rejected.
Then
there are the twin facts that there is no registry of immigrant addresses and
that no one knows whether federal troops would need search warrants to look in
places they may want to check out.
Trump’s
so-called “immigration czar,” Tom Homan, has said he will first go after anyone
here who has been given final removal orders by immigration judges. In 2023,
federal agents deported more than 140,000 such persons.
Going
after others like them could make Trump’s effort seem effective, even if it’s
not really removing any more targeted folks than soon-to-be ex-President Biden
ever did.
Which
makes this all far more complex than campaign rhetoric ever implied.
-30-
Email
Thomas Elias at tdelias@aol.com. His book, "The Burzynski Breakthrough:
The Most Promising Cancer Treatment and the Government’s Campaign to Squelch
It," is now available in a soft cover fourth edition. For more Elias
columns, visit www.californiafocus.net
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